Analysis
Questions worth asking of the data, worked through end to end. Every post shows its method, states what the numbers cannot support, and links the figures back to the seasons they came from.
When Does a Shooting Streak Become a Skill?
Split-half reliability across 3.1 million shot attempts, and why a single season cannot measure three-point shooting.
July 29, 2026 · 7 min read
Records that outrun their shot quality
Splitting every team’s shooting edge into the looks it generates and the shots it makes, across eleven seasons.
July 29, 2026 · 6 min read
The cost of an absence
The with-and-without-you number gets quoted constantly. Here is the error bar that comes with it.
July 29, 2026 · 5 min read